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H. G. Muller wrote on Sat, Apr 18, 2009 04:54 PM EDT:
Hmm, I am starting to doubt that the Guanaco is anywhere near a Bishop in
value. In the match of two Guanacos vs two Knights the Knights lead by 80%.
Strange thing is that two Llamas vs one Knight seems to go towards a very
clear victory for the Llamas (64%, which suggests a difference of the order
of a Pawn). All this after a mere 100-150 games, so with a sizable error
bars. But these results would put a Guanaco quite close to a Llama, which
is a bit strange, as it is clearly upward compatible with it.

Perhaps I should start with a test of two Guanacos against two Llamas, (say
as Knight replacements), to get a direct measure of how much the difference
between the two really is. It might be that the distant non-captures are
pretty useless. Thee are only few squares from which you can actually make
them on 8x8, and perhaps the Llama is already fast enough.

One thing I can confirm straight away, though: Both two Llamas and two
Alpacas make a generally won end-game. (Maximum distance to mate 43 or
51 moves, respectively.)

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